Physics - Of Radiation And Climate

: It predicted that while greenhouse gases warm the surface, they simultaneously cool the stratosphere—a distinct "fingerprint" of CO2cap C cap O sub 2 -driven warming that has since been observed. Access the Paper

: It introduced the first one-dimensional model to accurately incorporate the physical mechanisms of the greenhouse effect, including water vapor feedback and atmospheric convection. Climate Sensitivity : The paper estimated that doubling CO2cap C cap O sub 2 would raise global surface temperatures by approximately , a value consistent with modern estimates from the IPCC . Physics of Radiation and Climate

: Available via the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) or the University of Chicago . : It predicted that while greenhouse gases warm

The seminal paper in this field is by Syukuro Manabe and Richard T. Wetherald. Published in May 1967 in the Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences , it is widely considered the most influential paper in the history of climate change science. Key Scientific Contributions : Available via the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

: View the abstract and citation data at the American Meteorological Society .

For a more modern pedagogical overview, the article by Raymond T. Pierrehumbert ( Physics Today , 2011) provides an excellent summary of the underlying physics of radiative transfer and the energy balance of planets.